Buffalo Eviction Risk: High

It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10.

The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

SNAP participation runs 27.7% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Cost burden runs about half here against 44.6% across Erie County. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $972, close to the Buffalo average.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $41,709.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.