Buffalo Eviction Risk: High

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $25,446, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 38.2% against 17.8% nationally.

This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against Erie County at 44.6%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Average gross rent is $916, 12% below the Buffalo average.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.