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Neighborhood · Ranked #434 of 84,120 nationally

Seneca Babcock Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029001601 · Erie County, NY · pop 1,901 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 36029001601, home to 1,901 residents in the Seneca Babcock area of Buffalo, scores 7.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 67% of renter households, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $583 a month against an average household income of $20,927 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 20% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units625
Renter share62.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate52.7%
Median income$20,927

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Seneca Babcock
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#244 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8890, -78.8270 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seneca Babcock scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
52.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$583 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Seneca Babcock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seneca Babcock risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.09.0This tracttract 001601Buffalo: 9.49.4Buffaloparent cityCounty: 6.06.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Seneca Babcock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seneca Babcock

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029001601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029001601?

Census tract 36029001601 in the Seneca Babcock neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029001601?

Median gross rent is $583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029001601?

52.7% of residents in tract 36029001601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,901.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029001601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 94th, minority 84th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 36029001601 considered part of Seneca Babcock?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029001601 fall within Seneca Babcock (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029001601 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029001601 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029001601 scores 9/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029001601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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