Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Seneca Babcock Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029001601 · Erie County, NY · pop 1,901 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

36029001601 is a census tract in the Seneca Babcock area of Buffalo, NY. It scores 9.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,901. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.3

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 20% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units625

Renter share62.4%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate52.7%

Median income$20,927

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8890, -78.8270 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seneca Babcock scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

52.7% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$583 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Seneca Babcock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
33%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Seneca Babcock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

38.7%Housing insecurity
31.5%Utility-shutoff threat
52.5%Food insecurity
58.8%SNAP enrollment
27.9%Transit barriers
15.0%No health insurance
23.4%Frequent mental distress
42.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seneca Babcock

around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Erie County average of 44.6%. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Average gross rent is $583, 44% below the Buffalo average. Housing insecurity runs 38.7% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 31.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $20,927 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029001601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029001601?

Census tract 36029001601 in the Seneca Babcock neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029001601?

Median gross rent is $583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029001601?

52.7% of residents in tract 36029001601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,901.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029001601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 94th, minority 84th, housing 66th.

Is tract 36029001601 considered part of Seneca Babcock?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029001601 fall within Seneca Babcock (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029001601 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029001601 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029001601 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029001601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.