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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Seneca Babcock Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029016300 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,040 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 9.3/10, tract 36029016300 in the Seneca Babcock area of Buffalo, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,040 residents. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 38% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units992
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$33,618

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Seneca Babcock
Very Low
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Low
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,493 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8708, -78.8302 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seneca Babcock scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$949 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Seneca Babcock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seneca Babcock risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0163007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Seneca Babcock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seneca Babcock

It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. SNAP participation runs 35.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Set annual rent against average income of $33,618 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Housing insecurity runs 24.4% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $949, 9% below the Buffalo average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029016300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029016300?

Census tract 36029016300 in the Seneca Babcock neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029016300?

Median gross rent is $949/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029016300?

26.7% of residents in tract 36029016300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,040.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029016300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 60th, minority 41th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 36029016300 considered part of Seneca Babcock?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029016300 fall within Seneca Babcock (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029016300 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029016300 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029016300 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029016300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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