Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Kaisertown Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo
Tract 36029016700 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,146 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 36029016700 sits in the Kaisertown area of Buffalo eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. Population here is 2,146. Against Erie County at 44.6%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,255
Renter share48.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate38.3%
Median income$39,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 42.8779, -78.8079 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kaisertown scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
38.3% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$937 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
How Kaisertown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kaisertown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.7%Housing insecurity
- 16.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.8%Food insecurity
- 34.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.7%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kaisertown
The dominant input is economic stress at 9.6/10. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points.
The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
SNAP participation runs 34.0% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.
On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 29.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Average gross rent is $937, 10% below the Buffalo average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029016700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029016700?
Census tract 36029016700 in the Kaisertown neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029016700?
Median gross rent is $937/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029016700?
38.3% of residents in tract 36029016700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,146.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029016700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 63th, minority 48th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 36029016700 considered part of Kaisertown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029016700 fall within Kaisertown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36029016700 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36029016700 compare to Buffalo overall?
Tract 36029016700 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 36029016700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo
Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
36029005801
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Larkinville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Five Points
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
University Heights
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
36029005802
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Larkinville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
West Village
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Fruit Belt
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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