Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally

University Heights Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029980500 · Erie County, NY · pop 854 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 8.6/10, tract 36029980500 in the University Heights area of Buffalo, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 854. It sits 1.8 points above the Erie County average of 6.8.

Risk score
8.6
High
Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units15
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate20.0%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In University Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#70 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Low
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#70 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,167 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9544, -78.8144 · click any tract to drill in

Why University Heights scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How University Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
University Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.6This tracttract 9805007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within University Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University Heights

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #5,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 45%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029980500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029980500?

Census tract 36029980500 in the University Heights neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029980500?

20.0% of residents in tract 36029980500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 854.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029980500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 0th, minority 71th, housing 8th.
Q4

Is tract 36029980500 considered part of University Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029980500 fall within University Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029980500 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029980500 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029980500 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 36029980500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related