Neighborhood · Ranked #434 of 84,120 nationally

University Heights Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029004702 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,914 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 36029004702 belongs to University Heights in Buffalo, New York. It is home to 4,914 residents and scores 7.5/10, an elevated reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #1,304 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,260 a month while the average household earns $39,167 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 80% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 36% Owners 19%

Tract context

Occupied units2,140

Renter share80.4%

SVI overall0.34

Poverty rate37.4%

Median income$39,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9468, -78.8241 · click any tract to drill in

Why University Heights scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

37.4% poverty · this tract

9.4

Supply constraint

$1,260 rent vs county FMR

5.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How University Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

45%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
80%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within University Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.7%Housing insecurity
16.9%Utility-shutoff threat
28.0%Food insecurity
28.9%SNAP enrollment
16.0%Transit barriers
7.6%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
28.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University Heights

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004702?

Census tract 36029004702 in the University Heights neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029004702?

Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004702?

37.4% of residents in tract 36029004702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,914.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 3th, minority 81th, housing 57th.

Is tract 36029004702 considered part of University Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004702 fall within University Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029004702 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029004702 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004702 scores 9/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029004702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.