Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36029013600 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,069 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Orchard Park
Here is how census tract 36029013600, in Orchard Park, looks to a landlord: a 5.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,069. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,184 a month against an average household income of $96,713 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,472
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$96,713
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orchard Park and the region
Centroid at 42.7622, -78.7414 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orchard Park
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,184 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orchard Park
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8
How Orchard Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 3.3%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 20.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orchard Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029013600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029013600?
Census tract 36029013600 in Orchard Park scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029013600?
Median gross rent is $1,184/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029013600?
10.3% of residents in tract 36029013600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,069.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029013600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 21th, minority 4th, housing 12th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029013600 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029013600 compare to Orchard Park overall?
Tract 36029013600 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Orchard Park at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orchard Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orchard Park
Top eight tracts in Orchard Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related