Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36029013701 · Erie County, NY · pop 6,328 · 2% of tract blocks fall in Orchard Park
In Orchard Park in Erie County, census tract 36029013701 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 64% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,292 monthly, set against $96,901 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units3,006
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$96,901
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orchard Park and the region
Centroid at 42.7841, -78.7715 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Park scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orchard Park
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,292 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orchard Park
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8
How Orchard Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orchard Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029013701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029013701?
Census tract 36029013701 in Orchard Park scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029013701?
Median gross rent is $1,292/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029013701?
6.2% of residents in tract 36029013701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,328.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029013701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 53th, minority 19th, housing 47th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029013701 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029013701 compare to Orchard Park overall?
Tract 36029013701 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Orchard Park at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orchard Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orchard Park
Top eight tracts in Orchard Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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