Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10.

Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 44.6% across Erie County. It sits 1.3 points below the Erie County average of 6.8. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,292, 8% above the Orchard Park average. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $96,901, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.