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Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36029013501 · Erie County, NY · pop 7,037 · 2% of tract blocks fall in Orchard Park

The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 36029013501 reflects conditions in Orchard Park, New York. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,168 a month while the average household earns $91,023 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 17% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,944
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$91,023

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Orchard Park
High
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Moderate
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3,602 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orchard Park and the region

Centroid at 42.7319, -78.7674 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Park scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orchard Park
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,168 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orchard Park
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8

How Orchard Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orchard Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 013501Orchard Park: 8.08.0Orchard Parkparent cityCounty: 6.06.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orchard Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029013501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029013501?

Census tract 36029013501 in Orchard Park scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029013501?

Median gross rent is $1,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029013501?

7.8% of residents in tract 36029013501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,037.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029013501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 34th, minority 6th, housing 63th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029013501 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029013501 compare to Orchard Park overall?

Tract 36029013501 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Orchard Park at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orchard Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orchard Park

Top eight tracts in Orchard Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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