Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36029013501 ·
Erie County, NY · pop 7,037 · 2% of tract blocks fall in Orchard Park
Tract 36029013501 sits in Orchard Park, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It is home to 7,037 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 17%Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,944
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$91,023
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75th percentile
#2 of 5 tracts In Orchard Park
High
Within county
40th percentile
#157 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Low
Within state
23th percentile
#4,137 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
77th percentile
#19,618 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orchard Park and the region
Centroid at 42.7319, -78.7674 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Park scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orchard Park
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,168 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orchard Park
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8
How Orchard Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.8%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
6.1%SNAP enrollment
4.6%Transit barriers
3.8%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Cost burden runs 52% here against 44.6% across Erie County. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.
Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $91,023, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029013501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029013501?
Census tract 36029013501 in Orchard Park scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029013501?
Median gross rent is $1,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029013501?
7.8% of residents in tract 36029013501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,037.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029013501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 34th, minority 6th, housing 63th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029013501 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029013501 compare to Orchard Park overall?
Tract 36029013501 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Orchard Park at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orchard Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orchard Park
Top eight tracts in Orchard Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.