Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Disability prevalence runs 17.7% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.4 points below the Erie County average of 6.8.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.