Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36029013502 · Erie County, NY · pop 7,077 · 7% of tract blocks fall in Orchard Park
Orchard Park is where census tract 36029013502 sits, home to 7,077 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #16,841 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $173,144 a year. Renters make up 2% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units2,641
Renter share2.4%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$173,144
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orchard Park and the region
Centroid at 42.7316, -78.7253 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orchard Park
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orchard Park
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orchard Park
5.8
How Orchard Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 2.8%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 17.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orchard Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029013502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029013502?
Census tract 36029013502 in Orchard Park scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029013502?
8.5% of residents in tract 36029013502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,077.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029013502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 47th, minority 19th, housing 10th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 36029013502 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 36029013502 compare to Orchard Park overall?
Tract 36029013502 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Orchard Park at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orchard Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orchard Park
Top eight tracts in Orchard Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related