Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

North Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029004800 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,365 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the North Park neighborhood of Buffalo centers on tract 36029004800, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,365 residents. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,248 monthly, set against $106,635 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 23% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,718

Renter share37.6%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate15.5%

Median income$106,635

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9487, -78.8488 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Park scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

15.5% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$1,248 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How North Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

28%Socioeconomic
11%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

23%Grade A
68%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.5%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
4.5%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
20.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Park

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004800?

Census tract 36029004800 in the North Park neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029004800?

Median gross rent is $1,248/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004800?

15.5% of residents in tract 36029004800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,365.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 11th, minority 29th, housing 56th.

Is tract 36029004800 considered part of North Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004800 fall within North Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029004800 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029004800 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004800 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029004800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.