Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029006302 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,404 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Elmwood Village neighborhood of Buffalo is where census tract 36029006302 sits, home to 2,404 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,257 monthly, set against $92,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 27% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units1,156

Renter share43.6%

SVI overall0.14

Poverty rate9.1%

Median income$92,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9270, -78.8725 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood Village scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

9.1% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$1,257 rent vs county FMR

5.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Elmwood Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

42%Grade A
34%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.1%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
7.9%Food insecurity
6.4%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
4.1%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
18.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmwood Village

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029006302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006302?

Census tract 36029006302 in the Elmwood Village neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029006302?

Median gross rent is $1,257/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006302?

9.1% of residents in tract 36029006302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,404.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 7th, minority 23th, housing 28th.

Is tract 36029006302 considered part of Elmwood Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006302 fall within Elmwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029006302 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029006302 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029006302 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029006302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.