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Neighborhood · New York, NY

East Elmhurst Eviction Risk: High

15 census tracts · pop 48,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.7/10 · range 8.6–9.9

East Elmhurst spans 15 census tracts of New York, NY and houses 48,352 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 9.7/10, High tier. Against a New York baseline of 31.3%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 8.6 to 9.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. 21.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Filings are well documented here: 2,707 across 12 observed tracts. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.1/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 13.0% of renter households. SNAP participation is 23.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $2,010, 10% above the New York average of $1,821. Among the 289 mapped neighborhoods of New York, it ranks #57 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Eastern Parkway and Bedford Park.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 9.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.7
High
15 tracts · population-weighted
East Elmhurst vs New York How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.7% +84%
New York: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$2,010 +10%
New York: $1,821
Average HH income
$80,814 +1%
New York: $79,713
Poverty rate
15.4% -11%
New York: 17.4%
Renter share
63.5% -6%
New York: 67.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Elmhurst and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 15 tracts span score 8.6–9.9

Why East Elmhurst scores 9.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
15.4% below poverty line · Range 1.3–5.1 across tracts
3.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–5.0 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

East Elmhurst vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Elmhurst score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.7East ElmhurstNeighborhood8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in East Elmhurst?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 8.6 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

15 tracts in East Elmhurst

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
36081037900 9.9 7,170 59% $2,098
36081038100 9.9 7,121 67% $1,937
36081027302 9.9 4,390 73% $1,838
36081034700 9.9 3,360 66% $2,410
36081036500 9.9 2,696 40% $1,748
36081037300 9.9 2,543 56% $1,858
36081036700 9.9 2,213 68% $2,069
36081036300 9.9 2,081 56% $1,954
36081037100 9.9 1,403 49% $1,958
36081035700 9.7 4,121 26% $1,910
36081037700 9.6 4,173 56% $2,377
36081033100 9.6 , , ,
36081037502 9.5 2,724 64% $1,813
36081036100 9.2 2,201 63% $2,003
36081035300 8.6 2,156 52% $1,958
Frequently asked

About East Elmhurst

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Elmhurst?

East Elmhurst scores 9.7/10 (High tier) across 15 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Elmhurst compare to New York overall?

East Elmhurst scores 0.1 points higher than New York overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,010 vs $1,821.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Elmhurst?

Average gross rent in East Elmhurst is $2,010/month (pop-weighted across 15 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Elmhurst residents are renters?

64% of East Elmhurst households are renter-occupied (vs 67% in New York). The neighborhood has 48,352 residents.
Q5

Which tracts in East Elmhurst have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in East Elmhurst is census tract 36081037900 (score 9.9/10). Across the 15 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.6 to 9.9, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q6

How safe is East Elmhurst for landlords?

East Elmhurst carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.7/10). Pop-weighted across 15 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to New York as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of East Elmhurst?

East Elmhurst has 48,292 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (70.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Elmhurst

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside New York

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Elmhurst.

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