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Flower Hill, New York eviction risk overview
City brief · 4,803 residents

Flower Hill, NY Eviction Risk: HIGH

Nassau County · Population 4,803

In 2026
Risk score
8.4
HIGH

84th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min3.2 Average5.6 Now8.4
9.8 3.2 1976 · score 3.5 1977 · score 3.5 1978 · score 3.4 1979 · score 3.5 1980 · score 3.5 1981 · score 3.4 1982 · score 3.5 1983 · score 3.5 1984 · score 3.4 1985 · score 3.3 1986 · score 3.2 1987 · score 3.2 1988 · score 3.6 1989 · score 3.7 1990 · score 3.8 1991 · score 4.0 1992 · score 4.6 1993 · score 4.6 1994 · score 4.6 1995 · score 4.7 1996 · score 5.2 1997 · score 5.3 1998 · score 5.4 1999 · score 5.5 2000 · score 5.6 2001 · score 5.7 2002 · score 5.9 2003 · score 5.9 2004 · score 5.9 2005 · score 5.8 2006 · score 5.8 2007 · score 5.8 2008 · score 6.1 2009 · score 6.3 2010 · score 6.5 2011 · score 6.5 2012 · score 6.7 2013 · score 6.7 2014 · score 6.7 2015 · score 6.8 2016 · score 6.9 2017 · score 6.9 2018 · score 7.0 2019 · score 8.1 2020 · score 9.8 2021 · score 9.4 2022 · score 8.9 2023 · score 8.6 2024 · score 8.9 2025 · score 8.4 2026 · score 8.4

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.9 Regional 5.9 State 7.3 Economic 3.8 Supply 6.0 Rent Control 9.6 Eviction 7.3 Tenant 2.3 Housing 6.0 8.4 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +4.2% (2024)
    5.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.9
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    3.0% poverty · 3.4% unemp.
    3.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,150 average · 6.0% renters
    6.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    39.0% of income on rent
    9.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    363 days filing → judgment
    7.3
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    6.0% renters
    2.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Flower Hill and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Flower Hill compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Nassau County
Elevated
#57 of 130 cities
Rank in county, 57th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 130 cities in Nassau County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
High
#223 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#223 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Flower Hill risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Flower Hill: 8.48.4Flower HillThis cityCounty: 8.58.5Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.4
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 8.4/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.9 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 363d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,150/mo. A contested eviction takes 363 days and costs $20,274–$34,664 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 6.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 4,803 residents, 6.0% rent. 39% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 3.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.9 and 5.9 (GOP margin +4.2% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 7.3, housing court bias 6, rent-control risk 9.6. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +2.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.8. Supply constraint: 6. The numbers behind those: 3.0% poverty, 3.4% unemployment, 39% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Flower Hill sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Brentwood, NY · 378d · ~$31.4k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.3 Brentwood White Plains, NY · 384d · ~$30.7k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.3 White Plains Hempstead, NY · 418d · ~$32.6k all-in ($78/day) · score 9.4 Hempstead Levittown, NY · 387d · ~$30.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.4 Levittown Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Flower Hill
Flower Hill · 363d · ~$27.5k all-in ($76/day) · score 8.4 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Flower Hill, NY

Landlording in Flower Hill, New York, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.4/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Flower Hill is a city of 4,803 residents where 6.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 39.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,150/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Flower Hill eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 7.3/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Flower Hill closes 363 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Flower Hill's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Flower Hill runs $20,274 to $34,664 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 363 days of typical timeline and $2,150/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.3/10 in Flower Hill, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Flower Hill: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $34,664 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Flower Hill

Trap · 9.6/10
The 6.1/10 score weighs nine sub-factors including political climate, court bias, supply constraint, and tenant organizing strength. Flower Hill's rent-control-risk sub-score is 9.6/10, driven by demographic and political pressure for tenant relief.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Flower Hill for any reason?

No, you need a legal reason (just cause) for an eviction in New York, such as non-payment of rent, lease violations, or holding over after the lease term. While there's no statewide "just-cause" requirement to terminate a tenancy at the end of a lease, you still must follow proper notice procedures to end the tenancy and then pursue an eviction if the tenant doesn't leave. Simply wanting a tenant out isn't enough; you need to prove a valid legal basis in court.

Q2

What if my tenant claims financial hardship?

New York courts are generally sympathetic to tenants claiming financial hardship. This can lead to significant delays in the eviction process, with judges granting extensions for tenants to find new housing or catch up on rent. You should be prepared for this possibility and have a plan for lost income. This is where "cash for keys" can be a strategic move to cut your losses.

Q3

How long does the 14-day notice period really take?

The 14-day notice period is statutory, meaning it's fixed by law. However, the clock only starts ticking once the tenant is properly served. If you have trouble serving the notice, or if there's a dispute about whether it was served correctly, that can add days or weeks to the process before you even get to court. Always prioritize proper service.

Q4

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Flower Hill?

Given the 7.3/10 eviction process difficulty and the 363-day typical timeline, hiring an experienced landlord-tenant attorney for an eviction in Flower Hill is not just recommended, it's practically essential. Trying to navigate the complexities of New York's housing courts on your own is a recipe for expensive mistakes and even longer delays. The costs of getting it wrong far outweigh the attorney fees.

Q5

Can I charge late fees in Flower Hill?

Yes, New York law allows landlords to charge late fees. However, the late fee cannot be more than $50 or 5% of the monthly rent, whichever is less. Make sure your lease clearly states your late fee policy, and only apply it after rent is more than five days late.

Q6

What are "source of income" protections?

In New York, it's illegal to discriminate against a tenant or prospective tenant based on their "lawful source of income." This means you cannot refuse to rent to someone simply because they pay rent with a Section 8 voucher, Social Security benefits, or other legal forms of income. You must evaluate all applicants based on the same criteria, regardless of where their money comes from. For more, see our New York tenant protections guide.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.4/10 places Flower Hill in the 84th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.