Skip to content
University Gardens, New York eviction risk overview
City brief · 4,110 residents

University Gardens, NY Eviction Risk: VERY HIGH

Nassau County · Population 4,110

In 2026
Risk score
9
VERY HIGH

98th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min3.4 Average5.8 Now9
9.9 3.4 1976 · score 3.7 1977 · score 3.7 1978 · score 3.7 1979 · score 3.6 1980 · score 3.7 1981 · score 3.6 1982 · score 3.7 1983 · score 3.7 1984 · score 3.6 1985 · score 3.5 1986 · score 3.4 1987 · score 3.4 1988 · score 3.8 1989 · score 3.9 1990 · score 4.0 1991 · score 4.2 1992 · score 4.8 1993 · score 4.8 1994 · score 4.9 1995 · score 4.9 1996 · score 5.4 1997 · score 5.5 1998 · score 5.6 1999 · score 5.7 2000 · score 5.6 2001 · score 5.7 2002 · score 5.8 2003 · score 5.8 2004 · score 5.8 2005 · score 5.7 2006 · score 5.8 2007 · score 5.8 2008 · score 6.4 2009 · score 6.7 2010 · score 6.8 2011 · score 6.9 2012 · score 7.0 2013 · score 7.0 2014 · score 7.0 2015 · score 7.0 2016 · score 7.2 2017 · score 7.3 2018 · score 7.4 2019 · score 8.4 2020 · score 9.9 2021 · score 9.9 2022 · score 9.4 2023 · score 8.9 2024 · score 9.6 2025 · score 9.1 2026 · score 9.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.5 Regional 8.5 State 7.3 Economic 5.6 Supply 6.6 Rent Control 9.5 Eviction 6.9 Tenant 4.5 Housing 6.8 9 VERY HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +4.2% (2024)
    8.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.5
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    7.0% poverty · 5.8% unemp.
    5.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,846 average · 13.5% renters
    6.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    32.8% of income on rent
    9.5
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    368 days filing → judgment
    6.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    13.5% renters
    4.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.8
Geographic context

Risk heat across University Gardens and the region

Click any city to see its score

How University Gardens compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Nassau County
Very High
#10 of 130 cities
Rank in county, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 130 cities in Nassau County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
Very High
#42 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 97th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
University Gardens risk score vs. county / state / U.S.University Gardens: 9.09.0University GardensThis cityCounty: 8.58.5Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 9
    / 10 · VERY HIGH
    The verdict

    A Very high-tier market.

    Composite 9/10. Among the 10% riskiest markets nationally, with heavy tenant exposure, so every notice, hearing, and lease termination needs an attorney in the loop. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 368d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,846/mo. A contested eviction takes 368 days and costs $20,223–$41,966 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 13.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 4,110 residents, 13.5% rent. 33% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 7.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8.5 and 8.5 (GOP margin +4.2% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.9, housing court bias 6.8, rent-control risk 9.5. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.9 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.6. Supply constraint: 6.6. The numbers behind those: 7.0% poverty, 5.8% unemployment, 33% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

University Gardens sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Brentwood, NY · 378d · ~$31.4k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.3 Brentwood White Plains, NY · 384d · ~$30.7k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.3 White Plains Hempstead, NY · 418d · ~$32.6k all-in ($78/day) · score 9.4 Hempstead Levittown, NY · 387d · ~$30.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.4 Levittown Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle University Gardens
University Gardens · 368d · ~$31.1k all-in ($84/day) · score 9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in University Gardens, NY

Landlording in University Gardens, New York, presents one of the toughest environments for property owners in the nation. The Eviction Risk Score is 9/10 (VERY HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Among the toughest 10% of US markets where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

University Gardens is a city of 4,110 residents where 13.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 32.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,846/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How University Gardens eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in University Gardens closes 368 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of University Gardens's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.8/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in University Gardens runs $20,223 to $41,966 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 368 days of typical timeline and $1,846/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 4.5/10 in University Gardens, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in University Gardens: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $41,966 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in University Gardens

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 368 days and roughly $41,966 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $16,786 to $25,179 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Tenant defenses available under HSTPA 2019 + Good Cause 2024 can extend this materially.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my tenant claims a hardship and can't pay?

While you can be empathetic, your primary responsibility is to protect your investment. New York law provides some tenant protections for hardships, but it doesn't mean you must absorb all the costs. You can offer a payment plan, but if they don't adhere to it, you must proceed with the eviction process. Document any hardship claims and your responses carefully.

Q2

Can I raise the rent in University Gardens?

University Gardens itself does not have local rent control laws. However, New York State has strong rent stabilization laws, and there's a high "rent-control-risk" sub-score (9.5) for the area. While your specific units might not be stabilized now, be aware of the political climate and potential for future changes. Always provide proper notice for rent increases as per your lease and state law. For more, see our New York rent control rules guide.

Q3

What are the biggest mistakes landlords make during eviction here?

The most common mistakes are improper notice service, incorrect court filings, and trying to "self-help" evict (e.g., changing locks, turning off utilities). These actions are illegal and will lead to severe penalties. Another big mistake is waiting too long to act. Every day you delay is another day of lost rent in a process that already takes over a year.

Q4

Do I have to accept partial rent payments?

Accepting partial rent payments after an eviction notice has been served can sometimes complicate or even nullify your eviction case. It can be seen as waiving your right to evict for non-payment. If you accept a partial payment, make sure it's with a clear, written stipulation that the eviction process will continue unless the full amount is paid by a specific date. Consult your attorney before accepting partial payments once the eviction process has begun.

Q5

What tenant protections should I be most aware of?

Beyond the source-of-income protection, New York has robust tenant protections regarding habitability, retaliatory evictions, and security deposit handling. Ensure your property meets all habitability standards. Do not attempt to evict a tenant in retaliation for them reporting a repair issue or forming a tenant organization. Stay informed on all New York tenant protections to avoid legal pitfalls.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 9/10 places University Gardens in the 98th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.