Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Niagara Falls Eviction Risk: High

Tract 36063021100 · Niagara County, NY · pop 1,603

Census tract 36063021100 covers part of Niagara Falls, NY, and scores 8.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.5

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 40% Owners 23%

Tract context

Occupied units859

Renter share77.5%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate37.4%

Median income$36,494

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.0836, -79.0606 · click any tract to drill in

Why Niagara Falls scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Niagara Falls

5.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

37.4% poverty · this tract

9.4

Supply constraint

$881 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.4

How Niagara Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
19%Grade B
20%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.2%Housing insecurity
17.4%Utility-shutoff threat
30.8%Food insecurity
33.5%SNAP enrollment
15.9%Transit barriers
9.7%No health insurance
19.5%Frequent mental distress
36.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Niagara Falls

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 2.1 points above the Niagara County average of 6.4. SNAP participation runs 33.5% against 15.2% nationally.

78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Niagara County average of 40.9%. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Niagara Falls. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #5,413 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36063021100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063021100?

Census tract 36063021100 in Niagara Falls scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36063021100?

Median gross rent is $881/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36063021100?

37.4% of residents in tract 36063021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,603.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36063021100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 63th, housing 70th.

What share of households in tract 36063021100 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36063021100 compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Tract 36063021100 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Niagara Falls at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36063021100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls

Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.