Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: High , Niagara Falls

Tract 36063020400 · Niagara County, NY · pop 1,507 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

36063020400 is a census tract in the Little Italy area of Niagara Falls, NY. It scores 8.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,507. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Niagara County average of 40.9%.

Risk score

8.5

High

Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 31% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units698

Renter share40.7%

SVI overall0.76

Poverty rate24.2%

Median income$35,952

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.1097, -79.0391 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Niagara Falls

5.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

24.2% poverty · this tract

6.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.4

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
16%Grade B
67%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.7%Housing insecurity
17.5%Utility-shutoff threat
31.0%Food insecurity
33.8%SNAP enrollment
15.7%Transit barriers
9.0%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
35.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

SNAP participation runs 33.8% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Niagara County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 31.0% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Niagara Falls. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36063020400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063020400?

Census tract 36063020400 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36063020400?

24.2% of residents in tract 36063020400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,507.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36063020400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 95th, minority 70th, housing 46th.

Is tract 36063020400 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36063020400 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36063020400 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36063020400 compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Tract 36063020400 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Niagara Falls at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36063020400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls

Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.