Within neighborhood
30
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally
Little Italy Eviction Risk: High , Niagara Falls
Tract 36063020500 · Niagara County, NY · pop 2,272 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
36063020500 is a census tract in the Little Italy area of Niagara Falls, NY. It scores 8.5/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 55% here against 40.9% across Niagara County.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,053
Renter share66.2%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate32.7%
Median income$32,377
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region
Centroid at 43.1022, -79.0552 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Italy scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Niagara Falls
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
32.7% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$583 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.4
How Little Italy compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 50%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.5%Housing insecurity
- 17.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.7%Food insecurity
- 36.2%SNAP enrollment
- 15.9%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Italy
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 36.2% against 15.2% nationally.
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. It sits 2.1 points above the Niagara County average of 6.4.
The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
At $583 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Niagara Falls commands. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36063020500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063020500?
Census tract 36063020500 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36063020500?
Median gross rent is $583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36063020500?
32.7% of residents in tract 36063020500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,272.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36063020500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 79th, minority 58th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 36063020500 considered part of Little Italy?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36063020500 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36063020500 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36063020500 compare to Niagara Falls overall?
Tract 36063020500 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Niagara Falls at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 36063020500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls
Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
Little Italy
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
36063022000
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
36063020200
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
Little Italy
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
Little Italy
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
Little Italy
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
Little Italy
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NY
Little Italy
8.5
/ 10 · High
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