Neighborhood · Ranked #1,455 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: High , Niagara Falls

Tract 36063020500 · Niagara County, NY · pop 2,272 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Eviction risk in the Little Italy area of Niagara Falls centers on tract 36063020500, which scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,272 residents. That is riskier than about 93% of US census tracts.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $583 monthly, set against $32,377 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.3

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 30% Owners 33%

Tract context

Occupied units1,053

Renter share66.2%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate32.7%

Median income$32,377

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.1022, -79.0552 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Niagara Falls

5.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

32.7% poverty · this tract

8.2

Supply constraint

$583 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.4

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
50%Grade B
4%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.5%Housing insecurity
17.8%Utility-shutoff threat
31.7%Food insecurity
36.2%SNAP enrollment
15.9%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
39.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Niagara County average of 5.8 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36063020500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063020500?

Census tract 36063020500 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36063020500?

Median gross rent is $583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36063020500?

32.7% of residents in tract 36063020500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,272.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36063020500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 79th, minority 58th, housing 78th.

Is tract 36063020500 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36063020500 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36063020500 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36063020500 compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Tract 36063020500 scores 8.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Niagara Falls at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36063020500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls

Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.