Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Newburgh Eviction Risk: High
Tract 36071000302 · Orange County, NY · pop 5,019
With a score of 9.9/10, tract 36071000302 in Newburgh, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,019. It sits 3.2 points above the Orange County average of 6.7.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,469
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$77,388
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
National
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newburgh and the region
Centroid at 41.5071, -74.0237 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newburgh scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newburgh
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,670 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newburgh
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newburgh
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newburgh
8.7
How Newburgh compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.4%Housing insecurity
- 13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.6%Food insecurity
- 23.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 17.5%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newburgh
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Against Orange County at 49.0%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Housing insecurity runs 25.4% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 28.6% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,670, 15% above the Newburgh average. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $77,388.
45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071000302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071000302?
Census tract 36071000302 in Newburgh scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071000302?
Median gross rent is $1,670/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071000302?
19.2% of residents in tract 36071000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,019.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071000302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 84th, minority 89th, housing 48th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36071000302 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36071000302 compare to Newburgh overall?
Tract 36071000302 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newburgh at 8.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newburgh
Top eight tracts in Newburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
36071000100
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
36071000400
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
36071000501
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
36071000502
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
36071000600
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
36071000200
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
36071000301
7.9
/ 10 · High
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