Newburgh Eviction Risk: High

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. Food insecurity runs 40.0% against 17.8% nationally.

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10.

The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.2% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.