Newburgh Eviction Risk: High

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $36,061, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Food insecurity runs 38.1% against 17.8% nationally. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 31.9% against 14.2% nationally.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Orange County average of 49.0%.

Average gross rent is $1,245, 14% below the Newburgh average. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.