Newburgh Eviction Risk: High

It sits 3.2 points above the Orange County average of 6.7. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Food insecurity runs 38.4% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9.2/10.

SNAP participation runs 34.8% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $39,325, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Average gross rent is $1,117, 23% below the Newburgh average. Against Orange County at 49.0%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.