Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Shore Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 36103146005 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 8,373
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 36103146005 (Bay Shore, New York) comes in at $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,696 monthly, set against $117,571 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,896
Renter share33.8%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$117,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
National
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bay Shore and the region
Centroid at 40.7439, -73.2474 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Shore scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bay Shore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,696 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Shore
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Shore
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Shore
6.4
How Bay Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.2%Food insecurity
- 16.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.4%Transit barriers
- 12.8%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Shore
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Asian and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103146005
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103146005?
Census tract 36103146005 in Bay Shore scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103146005?
Median gross rent is $1,696/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103146005?
2.7% of residents in tract 36103146005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,373.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103146005?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 80th, minority 88th, housing 69th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103146005 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103146005 compare to Bay Shore overall?
Tract 36103146005 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bay Shore at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bay Shore
Top eight tracts in Bay Shore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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