Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Shore Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103145903 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 6,991 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Bay Shore
36103145903 is a census tract in Bay Shore, NY. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,991 residents. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,762
Renter share6.5%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$165,064
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bay Shore and the region
Centroid at 40.7397, -73.2720 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Shore scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bay Shore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,492 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Shore
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Shore
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Shore
6.4
How Bay Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Shore
Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,492, 21% above the Bay Shore average.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.1/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $165,064.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103145903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103145903?
Census tract 36103145903 in Bay Shore scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103145903?
Median gross rent is $2,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103145903?
5.5% of residents in tract 36103145903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,991.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103145903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 64th, minority 70th, housing 73th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103145903 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103145903 compare to Bay Shore overall?
Tract 36103145903 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Bay Shore at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bay Shore
Top eight tracts in Bay Shore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related