Commack Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.3/10. SNAP participation runs 4.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $2,309, 13% below the Commack average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $156,250, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.