Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Central Islip Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103146403 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 6,464
Tract 36103146403 sits in Central Islip eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,443
Renter share20.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$110,174
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Islip and the region
Centroid at 40.7850, -73.1859 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Islip scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Islip
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,604 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Islip
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Islip
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Islip
7.0
How Central Islip compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.3%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.5%Food insecurity
- 21.9%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 18.6%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Islip
Cost burden runs 80% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. Average gross rent is $2,604, 26% above the Central Islip average.
Housing insecurity runs 25.3% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.8/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103146403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103146403?
Census tract 36103146403 in Central Islip scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103146403?
Median gross rent is $2,604/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103146403?
11.2% of residents in tract 36103146403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,464.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103146403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 96th, minority 91th, housing 29th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103146403 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103146403 compare to Central Islip overall?
Tract 36103146403 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Central Islip at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Islip eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Islip
Top eight tracts in Central Islip ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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