Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Central Islip Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36103146403 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 6,464
Eviction risk in Central Islip eviction risk in Suffolk County centers on tract 36103146403, which scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 6,464 residents. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
80% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,604 a month while the average household earns $110,174 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,443
Renter share20.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$110,174
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Islip and the region
Centroid at 40.7850, -73.1859 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Islip scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Islip
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,604 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Islip
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Islip
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Islip
7.0
How Central Islip compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.3%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.5%Food insecurity
- 21.9%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 18.6%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Islip
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Central Islip eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 25.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103146403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103146403?
Census tract 36103146403 in Central Islip scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103146403?
Median gross rent is $2,604/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103146403?
11.2% of residents in tract 36103146403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,464.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103146403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 96th, minority 91th, housing 29th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103146403 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103146403 compare to Central Islip overall?
Tract 36103146403 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Central Islip at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Islip eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Islip
Top eight tracts in Central Islip ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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