Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
North Bay Shore Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 36103146002 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 5,246
North Bay Shore in Suffolk County anchors census tract 36103146002, which lands at 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,828 a month while the average household earns $140,000 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,196
Renter share13.3%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$140,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across North Bay Shore and the region
Centroid at 40.7554, -73.2540 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Bay Shore scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North Bay Shore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,828 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Bay Shore
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Bay Shore
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Bay Shore
4.1
How North Bay Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.0%Food insecurity
- 15.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 16.5%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Bay Shore
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from North Bay Shore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 21.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103146002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103146002?
Census tract 36103146002 in North Bay Shore scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103146002?
Median gross rent is $2,828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103146002?
7.9% of residents in tract 36103146002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,246.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103146002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 35th, minority 85th, housing 27th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103146002 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103146002 compare to North Bay Shore overall?
Tract 36103146002 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of North Bay Shore at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Bay Shore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in North Bay Shore
Top eight tracts in North Bay Shore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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