1 census tracts · pop 5,049 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10
· range 7.5–7.5
Elmsmere is a one-tract neighborhood of Mount Vernon, NY and houses 5,049 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.5/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Mount Vernon baseline of 32.1%, 48% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
At $2,447 a month, rents sit 50% over what the rest of Mount Vernon commands. Severe burden reaches 36%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10.
Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Mount Vernon, it ranks #7 by risk, the lower third. At 19% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Fleetwood and Vernon Park score within a fraction of it.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $148,889, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Elmsmere vs Mount VernonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport99%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmsmere
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.0%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility shutoff threat
10.2%Food insecurity
7.9%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
22.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Elmsmere
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Elmsmere?
Elmsmere scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Elmsmere compare to Mount Vernon overall?
Elmsmere scores 1.2 points lower than Mount Vernon overall (8.7/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,447 vs $1,629.
Q3
What is the average rent in Elmsmere?
Average gross rent in Elmsmere is $2,447/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Elmsmere residents are renters?
19% of Elmsmere households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Mount Vernon). The neighborhood has 5,049 residents.
Q5
Is Elmsmere a high social-vulnerability area?
Elmsmere sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Elmsmere for landlords?
Elmsmere carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mount Vernon as a whole (8.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Elmsmere?
Elmsmere has 5,036 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (32.7%), Hispanic / Latino (14.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
