Moss Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

At $2,079 a month, rents sit 43% over what the rest of Concord commands. The severe-burden share is 33%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. The voucher gap is 14.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation is 6.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Concord, it ranks #12 by risk, the lower third.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, South Union Historic District and Beverly Hills score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $134,567, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.