1 census tracts · pop 4,251 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10
· range 3.4–3.4
Carriage Run is a one-tract neighborhood of Shelby, NC and houses 4,251 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.2/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.4/10.
At $760 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Shelby commands. Court records for this tract carry 733 eviction filings. Cost burden runs around a third against 31.5% citywide, putting Carriage Run 3.9% over its own city.
The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 13.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.4% in 2018, is well off that peak. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Shelby, it ranks #6 by risk, the lower third.
Only 28% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Rocky Brook and Stonegate score within a fraction of it.
Against average income of $63,676, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carriage Run vs ShelbyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority33%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Carriage Run
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
733Total filings (sum)
8.19%Avg annual filing rate
13.1%Peak year (2006)
4.37%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carriage Run
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.9%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
12.8%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
36.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Carriage Run
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Carriage Run?
Carriage Run scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Carriage Run compare to Shelby overall?
Carriage Run scores 0.6 points lower than Shelby overall (4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $760 vs $945.
Q3
What is the average rent in Carriage Run?
Average gross rent in Carriage Run is $760/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Carriage Run residents are renters?
28% of Carriage Run households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Shelby). The neighborhood has 4,251 residents.
Q5
Is Carriage Run a high social-vulnerability area?
Carriage Run sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Carriage Run for landlords?
Carriage Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Shelby as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Carriage Run?
Carriage Run has 4,334 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods
Other neighborhoods inside Shelby
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carriage Run.
