Neighborhood · Shelby, NC

Carriage Run Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,251 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

Carriage Run is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Shelby with 1 census tract and a population of 4,251 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 35% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $760/month sits 20% lower than the Shelby citywide average ($945).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Carriage Run vs Shelby How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

35.4% +12%

Shelby: 31.5%

Average gross rent

$760 -20%

Shelby: $945

Average HH income

$63,676 +26%

Shelby: $50,705

Poverty rate

12.8% -30%

Shelby: 18.2%

Renter share

27.6% -31%

Shelby: 40.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carriage Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why Carriage Run scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Rent control risk

35% of income on rent · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Tenant organizing strength

28% renter households · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts

8.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Economic stress

12.8% below poverty line · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

Carriage Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Carriage Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37045950800	4.1	4,251	35%	$760

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 74%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 74%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carriage Run

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

733Total filings (sum)
8.19%Avg annual filing rate
13.1%Peak year (2006)
4.37%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carriage Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.9%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
12.8%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
36.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Carriage Run

What is the eviction-risk score for Carriage Run?

Carriage Run scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Carriage Run compare to Shelby overall?

Carriage Run scores 1.5 points higher than Shelby overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $760 vs $945.

What is the average rent in Carriage Run?

Average gross rent in Carriage Run is $760/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Carriage Run residents are renters?

28% of Carriage Run households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Shelby). The neighborhood has 4,251 residents.

Is Carriage Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Carriage Run sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Carriage Run for landlords?

Carriage Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Shelby as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Carriage Run?

Carriage Run has 4,334 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Shelby

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carriage Run.

3.9 Rocky Brook 1 tracts · pop 3,521 4.4 Stonegate 1 tracts · pop 3,906 4.7 Westwood Heights 1 tracts · pop 5,904 4.8 Light Oak 1 tracts · pop 4,271 5.8 Crestmont Heights 1 tracts · pop 2,721 5.8 Gidney Homes 1 tracts · pop 3,076

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