Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Dover Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37049960302 · Craven County, NC · pop 3,747 · 13% of tract blocks fall in Dover
Census tract 37049960302 covers part of Dover, NC, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,747. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,597
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$43,177
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 35.2382, -77.3625 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dover scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$744 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
9.4
How Dover compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.9%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 37.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dover
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.4/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Craven County average of 41.4%. Average gross rent is $744, 20% below the Dover average.
The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Craven County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $43,177.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37049960302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37049960302?
Census tract 37049960302 in Dover scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37049960302?
Median gross rent is $744/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37049960302?
11.7% of residents in tract 37049960302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,747.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37049960302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 88th, minority 55th, housing 32th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37049960302 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37049960302 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 37049960302 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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