Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, economic stress reads 8.3/10. At $952 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Fayetteville commands. Cost burden runs 40% here against 45.9% across Cumberland County.

It sits 1.0 points above the Cumberland County average of 4.0. Food insecurity runs 26.3% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.