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Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051001402 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 2,541 · 76% of tract blocks fall in Fayetteville

Fayetteville anchors census tract 37051001402, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 60% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $957 a month against an average household income of $41,250 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 33% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units969
Renter share65.1%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate27.0%
Median income$41,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#231 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,850 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0403, -78.8395 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
27.0% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$957 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 001402Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051001402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051001402?

Census tract 37051001402 in Fayetteville scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051001402?

Median gross rent is $957/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051001402?

27.0% of residents in tract 37051001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,541.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051001402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 98th, minority 84th, housing 79th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 37051001402 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 37051001402 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051001402 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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