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Neighborhood · Kernersville, NC

Julian Pond Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,290 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Julian Pond is a white-black neighborhood in Kernersville with 1 census tract and a population of 4,290 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $951/month sits 12% lower than the Kernersville citywide average ($1,082).

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Julian Pond vs Kernersville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.6% +98%
Kernersville: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$951 -12%
Kernersville: $1,082
Average HH income
$48,235 -31%
Kernersville: $69,923
Poverty rate
29.0% +152%
Kernersville: 11.5%
Renter share
43.4% +10%
Kernersville: 39.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Julian Pond and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Julian Pond scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
29.0% below poverty line · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Julian Pond vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Julian Pond score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Julian Pond: 5.15.1Julian PondNeighborhoodParent city: 2.62.6Parent cityhost cityState: 2.92.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Julian Pond

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37067003202 5.1 4,290 57% $951
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 90%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Julian Pond

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 297Total filings (sum)
  • 9.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak year (2012)
  • 12.77%Latest filed (2012)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Julian Pond

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Julian Pond

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Julian Pond?

Julian Pond scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Julian Pond compare to Kernersville overall?

Julian Pond scores 2.5 points higher than Kernersville overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $951 vs $1,082.
Q3

What is the average rent in Julian Pond?

Average gross rent in Julian Pond is $951/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Julian Pond residents are renters?

43% of Julian Pond households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Kernersville). The neighborhood has 4,290 residents.
Q5

Is Julian Pond a high social-vulnerability area?

Julian Pond sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Julian Pond for landlords?

Julian Pond carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Kernersville as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Julian Pond?

Julian Pond has 4,052 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24%), Hispanic / Latino (19.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Julian Pond

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Kernersville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Julian Pond.

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