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Neighborhood · Kernersville, NC

Julian Pond Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,290 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Julian Pond maps to a single census tract in Kernersville, NC, population 4,290. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. 57% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Kernersville rate of 28.6%.

The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 297 evictions logged in this tract. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.2/10.

Average gross rent is $951, 12% below the Kernersville average of $1,082. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 12.8% of renter households. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Kernersville, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Judgments average 3.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $48,235.

43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Julian Pond vs Kernersville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.6% +98%
Kernersville: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$951 -12%
Kernersville: $1,082
Average HH income
$48,235 -31%
Kernersville: $69,923
Poverty rate
29.0% +152%
Kernersville: 11.5%
Renter share
43.4% +10%
Kernersville: 39.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Julian Pond and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Julian Pond scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
29.0% below poverty line · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Julian Pond vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Julian Pond score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4Julian PondNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Julian Pond

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37067003202 5.4 4,290 57% $951
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 90%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Julian Pond

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 297Total filings (sum)
  • 9.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak year (2012)
  • 12.77%Latest filed (2012)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Julian Pond

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Julian Pond

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Julian Pond?

Julian Pond scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Julian Pond compare to Kernersville overall?

Julian Pond scores 1.4 points higher than Kernersville overall (4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $951 vs $1,082.
Q3

What is the average rent in Julian Pond?

Average gross rent in Julian Pond is $951/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Julian Pond residents are renters?

43% of Julian Pond households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Kernersville). The neighborhood has 4,290 residents.
Q5

Is Julian Pond a high social-vulnerability area?

Julian Pond sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Julian Pond for landlords?

Julian Pond carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Kernersville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Julian Pond?

Julian Pond has 4,052 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24%), Hispanic / Latino (19.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Julian Pond

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Kernersville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Julian Pond.

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