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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Julian Pond Eviction Risk: Moderate , Kernersville

Tract 37067003202 · Forsyth County, NC · pop 4,290 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

The Julian Pond area of Kernersville anchors census tract 37067003202, which lands at 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $951 monthly, set against $48,235 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 19% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,838
Renter share43.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$48,235

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Julian Pond
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Kernersville
Very High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 95 tracts In Forsyth County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#401 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kernersville and the region

Centroid at 36.1225, -80.0575 · click any tract to drill in

Why Julian Pond scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kernersville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$951 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kernersville
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kernersville
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kernersville
5.2

How Julian Pond compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Julian Pond risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 003202Kernersville: 2.62.6Kernersvilleparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 297Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 9.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak (2012)
  • 96Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370670032022005: 71 filings (9.63/100 renter HHs)2006: 80 filings (10.85/100 renter HHs)2010: 50 filings (6.20/100 renter HHs)2012: 96 filings (12.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Julian Pond

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Kernersville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Forsyth County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37067003202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37067003202?

Census tract 37067003202 in the Julian Pond neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37067003202?

Median gross rent is $951/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37067003202?

29.0% of residents in tract 37067003202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,290.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37067003202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 95th, minority 65th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 37067003202 considered part of Julian Pond?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37067003202 fall within Julian Pond (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37067003202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37067003202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.86% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37067003202 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37067003202 compare to Kernersville overall?

Tract 37067003202 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Kernersville at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kernersville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kernersville

Top eight tracts in Kernersville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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