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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winston-Salem

Tract 37067003903 · Forsyth County, NC · pop 4,342 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

How risky is the Forest Oaks neighborhood of Winston-Salem for landlords? Census tract 37067003903 scores 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 60% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,050 monthly, set against $44,008 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 34% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units2,181
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$44,008

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 65 tracts In Winston-Salem
Elevated
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 95 tracts In Forsyth County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#455 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winston-Salem and the region

Centroid at 36.0831, -80.3190 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Oaks scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winston-Salem
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,050 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winston-Salem
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5

How Forest Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 003903Winston-Salem: 3.13.1Winston-Salemparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,022Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 32.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 42.7%Peak (2010)
  • 535Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370670039032005: 447 filings (31.69/100 renter HHs)2006: 358 filings (25.38/100 renter HHs)2010: 682 filings (42.68/100 renter HHs)2012: 535 filings (30.69/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Oaks

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Forsyth County average of 5.5 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,022 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 32.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 42.7% of renter households in 2010.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37067003903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37067003903?

Census tract 37067003903 in the Forest Oaks neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37067003903?

Median gross rent is $1,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37067003903?

18.9% of residents in tract 37067003903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,342.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37067003903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 76th, minority 61th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 37067003903 considered part of Forest Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37067003903 fall within Forest Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37067003903?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,022 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37067003903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.61% of renter households, peaking at 42.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37067003903 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37067003903 compare to Winston-Salem overall?

Tract 37067003903 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Winston-Salem at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winston-Salem

Top eight tracts in Winston-Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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