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Neighborhood · Winston-Salem, NC

Forest Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,342 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Forest Oaks is a one-tract neighborhood of Winston-Salem, NC and houses 4,342 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 30.4% citywide, putting Forest Oaks 15.6% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 2,022 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 25.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. 14.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 42.7% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 30.7% in 2012 against a 42.7% peak. That places it #9 of 26 neighborhoods in Winston-Salem.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Moravian Forest and Reynolds Manor. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Forest Oaks vs Winston-Salem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.0% +51%
Winston-Salem: 30.4%
Average gross rent
$1,050 -3%
Winston-Salem: $1,087
Average HH income
$44,008 -24%
Winston-Salem: $57,673
Poverty rate
18.9% +6%
Winston-Salem: 17.9%
Renter share
63.5% +43%
Winston-Salem: 44.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Forest Oaks scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
18.9% below poverty line · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Forest Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Forest Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Forest OaksNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Forest Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37067003903 4.8 4,342 46% $1,050
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 93

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest Oaks

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,022Total filings (sum)
  • 32.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 42.7%Peak year (2010)
  • 30.69%Latest filed (2012)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Forest Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Oaks?

Forest Oaks scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Forest Oaks compare to Winston-Salem overall?

Forest Oaks scores 1.2 points higher than Winston-Salem overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,050 vs $1,087.
Q3

What is the average rent in Forest Oaks?

Average gross rent in Forest Oaks is $1,050/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Forest Oaks residents are renters?

64% of Forest Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Winston-Salem). The neighborhood has 4,342 residents.
Q5

Is Forest Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Oaks sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Forest Oaks for landlords?

Forest Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winston-Salem as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Oaks?

Forest Oaks has 4,854 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.5%), Hispanic / Latino (21.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winston-Salem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Oaks.

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