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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Moravian Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winston-Salem

Tract 37067002804 · Forsyth County, NC · pop 3,983 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 37067002804 sits in the Moravian Forest area of Winston-Salem eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 3,983. 55% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 3% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,321
Renter share10.7%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$50,568

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Moravian Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 65 tracts In Winston-Salem
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 95 tracts In Forsyth County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#665 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winston-Salem and the region

Centroid at 36.1849, -80.3099 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moravian Forest scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winston-Salem
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,036 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winston-Salem
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winston-Salem
3.5

How Moravian Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moravian Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0028043.6Winston-Salemparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 143Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 13.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.4%Peak (2012)
  • 59Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 37067002804
Filings climbed 97% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moravian Forest

72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Forsyth County average of 41.1%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Forsyth County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

Court records carry 143 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 16.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37067002804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37067002804?

Census tract 37067002804 in the Moravian Forest neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37067002804?

Median gross rent is $1,036/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37067002804?

20.2% of residents in tract 37067002804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,983.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37067002804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 88th, minority 71th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 37067002804 considered part of Moravian Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37067002804 fall within Moravian Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37067002804?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 143 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37067002804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.11% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37067002804 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37067002804 compare to Winston-Salem overall?

Tract 37067002804 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Winston-Salem at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winston-Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winston-Salem

Top eight tracts in Winston-Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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