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Neighborhood · Winston-Salem, NC

Moravian Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,983 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Moravian Forest is a one-tract neighborhood of Winston-Salem, NC and houses 3,983 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 55%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

72% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Winston-Salem rate of 30.4%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Court records for this tract carry 143 eviction filings. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 16.4% of renter households. That places it #9 of 26 neighborhoods in Winston-Salem. Judgments average 4.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Forest Oaks and Reynolds Manor score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,036, close to the Winston-Salem average.

One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Moravian Forest vs Winston-Salem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
71.8% +136%
Winston-Salem: 30.4%
Average gross rent
$1,036 -5%
Winston-Salem: $1,087
Average HH income
$50,568 -12%
Winston-Salem: $57,673
Poverty rate
20.2% +13%
Winston-Salem: 17.9%
Renter share
10.8% -76%
Winston-Salem: 44.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Moravian Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Moravian Forest scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
72% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
11% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
20.2% below poverty line · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Moravian Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Moravian Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Moravian ForestNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Moravian Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37067002804 4.8 3,983 72% $1,036
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Moravian Forest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 143Total filings (sum)
  • 13.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.4%Peak year (2012)
  • 16.39%Latest filed (2012)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Moravian Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Moravian Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Moravian Forest?

Moravian Forest scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Moravian Forest compare to Winston-Salem overall?

Moravian Forest scores 1.2 points higher than Winston-Salem overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,036 vs $1,087.
Q3

What is the average rent in Moravian Forest?

Average gross rent in Moravian Forest is $1,036/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Moravian Forest residents are renters?

11% of Moravian Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Winston-Salem). The neighborhood has 3,983 residents.
Q5

Is Moravian Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Moravian Forest sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Moravian Forest for landlords?

Moravian Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winston-Salem as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Moravian Forest?

Moravian Forest has 3,715 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.4%), Hispanic / Latino (22.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Moravian Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winston-Salem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Moravian Forest.

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