Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Ayrsley Eviction Risk: Lower , Charlotte

Tract 37119005927 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 8,152 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

How risky is the Ayrsley area of Charlotte for landlords? Census tract 37119005927 scores 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,663 monthly, set against $92,292 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 40% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units2,745

Renter share58.8%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate6.5%

Median income$92,292

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Charlotte and the region

Centroid at 35.1517, -80.9337 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ayrsley scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Charlotte

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

6.5% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,663 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Charlotte

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Charlotte

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Charlotte

3.5

How Ayrsley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

42%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ayrsley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.9%Housing insecurity
9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
17.8%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
9.3%Transit barriers
12.8%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
26.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ayrsley

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Mecklenburg County average of 5.5 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37119005927

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119005927?

Census tract 37119005927 in the Ayrsley neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37119005927?

Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37119005927?

6.5% of residents in tract 37119005927 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,152.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37119005927?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 20th, minority 87th, housing 80th.

Is tract 37119005927 considered part of Ayrsley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119005927 fall within Ayrsley (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37119005927 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37119005927 compare to Charlotte overall?

Tract 37119005927 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Charlotte at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte

Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.