Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Ayrsley Eviction Risk: Lower , Charlotte
Tract 37119005927 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 8,152 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 37119005927 covers part of the Ayrsley area of Charlotte, NC, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,152. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,745
Renter share58.8%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$92,292
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Charlotte and the region
Centroid at 35.1517, -80.9337 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ayrsley scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,663 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5
How Ayrsley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ayrsley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.8%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 12.8%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ayrsley
roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Mecklenburg County average of 45.3%. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Mecklenburg County average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,663, close to the Charlotte average.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $92,292. 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37119005927
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119005927?
Census tract 37119005927 in the Ayrsley neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37119005927?
Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37119005927?
6.5% of residents in tract 37119005927 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,152.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37119005927?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 20th, minority 87th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 37119005927 considered part of Ayrsley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119005927 fall within Ayrsley (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37119005927 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37119005927 compare to Charlotte overall?
Tract 37119005927 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Charlotte at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte
Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Holly Hill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Yorkmount Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Firestone
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Starmount
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Sheffield
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Starmount
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Oakview Terrace
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hampshire Hills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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