Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Ayrsley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Charlotte
Tract 37119005916 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 2,567 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 37119005916 sits in the Ayrsley area of Charlotte eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 2,567 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units904
Renter share74.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$48,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Charlotte and the region
Centroid at 35.1317, -80.9106 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ayrsley scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,355 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5
How Ayrsley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 531Total filings over 4 yrs
- 25.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 52.8%Peak (2005)
- 92Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ayrsley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.2%Housing insecurity
- 18.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.6%Food insecurity
- 31.4%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 21.9%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 39.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ayrsley
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Mecklenburg County average of 45.3%.
75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $48,444 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 31.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Mecklenburg County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 21.9% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,355, 16% below the Charlotte average.
Court records carry 531 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 52.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 25.1% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37119005916
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119005916?
Census tract 37119005916 in the Ayrsley neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37119005916?
Median gross rent is $1,355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37119005916?
16.1% of residents in tract 37119005916 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,567.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37119005916?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 91th, minority 94th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 37119005916 considered part of Ayrsley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119005916 fall within Ayrsley (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37119005916?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 531 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37119005916 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.05% of renter households, peaking at 52.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37119005916 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37119005916 compare to Charlotte overall?
Tract 37119005916 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Charlotte at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte
Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Brookhill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Yorkshire
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Virginia Manor
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Candlewood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Anthem
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Colonial Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Stonehaven
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Westerly Hill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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