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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Ayrsley Eviction Risk: Lower , Charlotte

Tract 37119005915 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 2,828 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 37119005915 sits in the Ayrsley area of Charlotte eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It is home to 2,828 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 57% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,594
Renter share87.7%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$79,338

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Ayrsley
Moderate
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#143 of 255 tracts In Charlotte
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#154 of 305 tracts In Mecklenburg County
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1,333 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Charlotte and the region

Centroid at 35.1348, -80.9335 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ayrsley scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,595 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5

How Ayrsley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ayrsley risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0059154.0Charlotteparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 315Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 11.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2014)
  • 102Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 37119005915
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ayrsley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ayrsley

This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against Mecklenburg County at 45.3%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 315 filings here across 3 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 12.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 11.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Mecklenburg County average of 4.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,595, close to the Charlotte average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37119005915

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119005915?

Census tract 37119005915 in the Ayrsley neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37119005915?

Median gross rent is $1,595/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37119005915?

5.6% of residents in tract 37119005915 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,828.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37119005915?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 3th, minority 84th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 37119005915 considered part of Ayrsley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119005915 fall within Ayrsley (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37119005915?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 315 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 37119005915 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.18% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37119005915 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37119005915 compare to Charlotte overall?

Tract 37119005915 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Charlotte at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte

Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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