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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Ayrsley Eviction Risk: Lower , Charlotte

Tract 37119005915 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 2,828 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

In the Ayrsley area of Charlotte, census tract 37119005915 scores 5.1/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #49,102 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,595 a month against an average household income of $79,338 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 88% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 57% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,594
Renter share87.7%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$79,338

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Ayrsley
Moderate
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#141 of 255 tracts In Charlotte
Moderate
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#151 of 305 tracts In Mecklenburg County
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#1,623 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Charlotte and the region

Centroid at 35.1348, -80.9335 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ayrsley scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,595 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5

How Ayrsley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ayrsley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 005915Charlotte: 3.23.2Charlotteparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 315Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 11.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2014)
  • 102Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 371190059152005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 108 filings (12.15/100 renter HHs)2015: 105 filings (11.81/100 renter HHs)2016: 102 filings (9.57/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ayrsley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ayrsley

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Mecklenburg County average of 5.5 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37119005915

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119005915?

Census tract 37119005915 in the Ayrsley neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37119005915?

Median gross rent is $1,595/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37119005915?

5.6% of residents in tract 37119005915 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,828.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37119005915?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 3th, minority 84th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 37119005915 considered part of Ayrsley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119005915 fall within Ayrsley (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37119005915?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 315 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 37119005915 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.18% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37119005915 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37119005915 compare to Charlotte overall?

Tract 37119005915 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Charlotte at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte

Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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