Neighborhood · Cornelius, NC

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 18,985 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.1/10 · range 1.9–2.4

Downtown is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Cornelius with 5 census tracts and a population of 18,985 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,614/month sits 6% lower than the Cornelius citywide average ($1,722).

Risk score

2.1

Lower

5 tracts · population-weighted

Downtown vs Cornelius How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

40.7% +38%

Cornelius: 29.5%

Average gross rent

$1,614 -6%

Cornelius: $1,722

Average HH income

$109,642 -4%

Cornelius: $114,688

Poverty rate

8.9% +102%

Cornelius: 4.4%

Renter share

39.4% +29%

Cornelius: 30.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 1.9–2.4

Why Downtown scores 2.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Rent control risk

41% of income on rent · Range 5.9–6.1 across tracts

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–2.6 across tracts

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

39% renter households · Range 4.2–6.6 across tracts

5.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–5.3 across tracts

4.8

Economic stress

8.9% below poverty line · Range 1.3–3.3 across tracts

2.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–6.5 across tracts

3.8

Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.5 points from 1.9 to 2.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

2.4 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.9

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37119006411	2.4	2,915	79%	$1,304
37119005721	2.3	3,594	29%	$2,101
37119006408	2.1	2,766	40%	$1,658
37119006403	1.9	5,969	39%	$1,463
37119006208	1.9	3,741	26%	$1,596

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 22%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 44%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

420Total filings (sum)
9.92%Avg annual filing rate
25.0%Peak year (2015)
8.86%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.0%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
7.5%No health insurance
27.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Downtown

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Downtown compare to Cornelius overall?

Downtown scores 0.4 points lower than Cornelius overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,614 vs $1,722.

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,614/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

39% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 31% in Cornelius). The neighborhood has 18,985 residents.

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 37119006411 (score 2.4/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.9 to 2.4, a spread of 0.5 points.

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cornelius as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 19,160 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

1.7 Caldwell 3 tracts · pop 11,624 1.9 Plum Creek 3 tracts · pop 9,944 1.8 Birkdale 2 tracts · pop 11,207 3.3 McGinnis Village 2 tracts · pop 8,506 1.5 Hicks Crossroads 3 tracts · pop 11,732 3.1 Highland Creek 3 tracts · pop 6,057

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cornelius

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

1.7 Birkdale 2 tracts · pop 11,207 1.7 Caldwell 3 tracts · pop 11,624 1.6 Bailey Springs Neighborhood 1 tracts · pop 3,334

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