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Neighborhood · Cornelius, NC

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 18,985 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3–3.7

Downtown spans 5 census tracts of Cornelius, NC, population 18,985. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.2/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Cornelius baseline of 29.5%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.2/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10.

Filings are well documented here: 420 across 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 25.0% of renter households. SNAP participation is 6.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 9.6% of adults, 8.2 points below the national rate. The most recent observed rate, 9.3% in 2016, is well off that peak. At $1,614 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Cornelius commands.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Cornelius, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third. Against average income of $109,642, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.

Its 5 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
5 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Cornelius How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +38%
Cornelius: 29.5%
Average gross rent
$1,614 -6%
Cornelius: $1,722
Average HH income
$109,642 -4%
Cornelius: $114,688
Poverty rate
8.9% +102%
Cornelius: 4.4%
Renter share
39.4% +29%
Cornelius: 30.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3–3.7

Why Downtown scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 5.9–6.1 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–2.6 across tracts
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 4.2–6.6 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–5.3 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
8.9% below poverty line · Range 1.3–3.3 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–6.5 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2DowntownNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.7 points from 3 to 3.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37119006411 3.7 2,915 79% $1,304
37119006408 3.4 2,766 40% $1,658
37119006208 3.1 3,741 26% $1,596
37119005721 3.1 3,594 29% $2,101
37119006403 3 5,969 39% $1,463
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 22%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 420Total filings (sum)
  • 9.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 8.86%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Cornelius overall?

Downtown scores 0.8 points lower than Cornelius overall (4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,614 vs $1,722.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,614/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

39% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 31% in Cornelius). The neighborhood has 18,985 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 37119006411 (score 3.7/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.7, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cornelius as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 19,160 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cornelius

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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