Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Heartwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Carrboro
Tract 37135011208 · Orange County, NC · pop 5,501 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 37135011208 belongs to the Heartwood neighborhood of Carrboro, North Carolina. It is home to 5,501 residents and scores 5.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $119,074 a year. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,095
Renter share14.0%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$119,074
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrboro and the region
Centroid at 35.9819, -79.0896 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heartwood scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrboro
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrboro
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrboro
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrboro
6.0
How Heartwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heartwood
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37135011208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135011208?
Census tract 37135011208 in the Heartwood neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 37135011208?
9.0% of residents in tract 37135011208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,501.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 37135011208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 41th, minority 62th, housing 29th.
Q4
Is tract 37135011208 considered part of Heartwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135011208 fall within Heartwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 37135011208 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37135011208 compare to Carrboro overall?
Tract 37135011208 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Carrboro at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrboro
Top eight tracts in Carrboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Sparrow
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
The Flats
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Bridges at Chapel Hill
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Lincoln Park
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37135010710
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Morgan Ridge At Hansen Creek
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Claremont South
2
/ 10 · Low
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