Neighborhood · Carrboro, NC

Heartwood Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,501 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.7/10 · range 2.7–2.7

Heartwood is a diverse neighborhood in Carrboro with 1 census tract and a population of 5,501 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 33% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income).

Risk score

2.7

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Heartwood vs Carrboro How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.1% +43%

Carrboro: 33.7%

Average gross rent

$0 -100%

Carrboro: $1,470

Average HH income

$119,074 +39%

Carrboro: $85,927

Poverty rate

9.0% -20%

Carrboro: 11.3%

Renter share

14.0% -75%

Carrboro: 56.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heartwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.7–2.7

Why Heartwood scores 2.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Rent control risk

48% of income on rent · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

14% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Economic stress

9.0% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Heartwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Heartwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37135011208	2.7	5,501	48%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 41%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 29%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heartwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.6%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
21.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Heartwood

What is the eviction-risk score for Heartwood?

Heartwood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Heartwood compare to Carrboro overall?

Heartwood scores 0.0 points higher than Carrboro overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 34% citywide.

What percentage of Heartwood residents are renters?

14% of Heartwood households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Carrboro). The neighborhood has 5,501 residents.

Is Heartwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Heartwood sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Heartwood for landlords?

Heartwood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carrboro as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Heartwood?

Heartwood has 5,690 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heartwood

2.6 Havenstone 2 tracts · pop 5,237

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carrboro

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heartwood.

2.5 Morgan Ridge At Hansen Creek 1 tracts · pop 2,261 2 Claremont South 1 tracts · pop 3,479 4.1 Lincoln Park 1 tracts · pop 3,367 4.4 The Flats 1 tracts · pop 4,504 4.4 Bridges at Chapel Hill 1 tracts · pop 1,809 4.6 Sparrow 1 tracts · pop 2,712

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