Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carrboro

Tract 37135010708 · Orange County, NC · pop 3,367 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

For landlords sizing up Lincoln Park in Carrboro, census tract 37135010708 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,407 a month while the average household earns $64,421 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 54% Owners 24%

Tract context

Occupied units1,419

Renter share76.6%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate14.3%

Median income$64,421

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrboro and the region

Centroid at 35.9058, -79.0775 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Park scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Carrboro

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

14.3% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$1,407 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Carrboro

6.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Carrboro

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Carrboro

6.0

How Lincoln Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
29%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.0%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
27.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Park

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37135010708

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135010708?

Census tract 37135010708 in the Lincoln Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37135010708?

Median gross rent is $1,407/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37135010708?

14.3% of residents in tract 37135010708 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,367.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37135010708?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 29th, minority 76th, housing 72th.

Is tract 37135010708 considered part of Lincoln Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135010708 fall within Lincoln Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37135010708 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37135010708 compare to Carrboro overall?

Tract 37135010708 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Carrboro at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carrboro

Top eight tracts in Carrboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.