Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
The Flats Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carrboro
Tract 37135010705 · Orange County, NC · pop 4,504 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
In the The Flats area of Carrboro, census tract 37135010705 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.
About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,300 a month while the average household earns $66,951 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,104
Renter share64.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$66,951
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrboro and the region
Centroid at 35.9182, -79.0800 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Flats scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrboro
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,300 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrboro
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrboro
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrboro
6.0
How The Flats compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,176Total filings over 13 yrs
- 10.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.1%Peak (2002)
- 68Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Flats
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,176 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 10.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.1% of renter households in 2002.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37135010705
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135010705?
Census tract 37135010705 in the The Flats neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37135010705?
Median gross rent is $1,300/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37135010705?
18.5% of residents in tract 37135010705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,504.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37135010705?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 5th, minority 32th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 37135010705 considered part of The Flats?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135010705 fall within The Flats (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37135010705?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,176 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 37135010705 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.34% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37135010705 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37135010705 compare to Carrboro overall?
Tract 37135010705 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Carrboro at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrboro
Top eight tracts in Carrboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Sparrow
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Bridges at Chapel Hill
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Lincoln Park
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37135010710
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Heartwood
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Morgan Ridge At Hansen Creek
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Claremont South
2
/ 10 · Low
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