Neighborhood · Carrboro, NC

Lincoln Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,367 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

Lincoln Park is a black-white neighborhood in Carrboro with 1 census tract and a population of 3,367 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 29% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,407/month sits 4% lower than the Carrboro citywide average ($1,470).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Lincoln Park vs Carrboro How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

28.9% -14%

Carrboro: 33.7%

Average gross rent

$1,407 -4%

Carrboro: $1,470

Average HH income

$64,421 -25%

Carrboro: $85,927

Poverty rate

14.3% +27%

Carrboro: 11.3%

Renter share

76.6% +36%

Carrboro: 56.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why Lincoln Park scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Rent control risk

29% of income on rent · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

77% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Economic stress

14.3% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts

3.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

Lincoln Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Lincoln Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37135010708	4.1	3,367	29%	$1,407

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 29%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 72%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.0%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
12.1%No health insurance
27.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Lincoln Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Park?

Lincoln Park scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lincoln Park compare to Carrboro overall?

Lincoln Park scores 1.4 points higher than Carrboro overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,407 vs $1,470.

What is the average rent in Lincoln Park?

Average gross rent in Lincoln Park is $1,407/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lincoln Park residents are renters?

77% of Lincoln Park households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Carrboro). The neighborhood has 3,367 residents.

Is Lincoln Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln Park sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Lincoln Park for landlords?

Lincoln Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carrboro as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Park?

Lincoln Park has 3,085 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (41.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.6%), Hispanic / Latino (16.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln Park

2.6 Havenstone 2 tracts · pop 5,237

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carrboro

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln Park.

4.4 The Flats 1 tracts · pop 4,504 4.4 Bridges at Chapel Hill 1 tracts · pop 1,809 4.6 Sparrow 1 tracts · pop 2,712 2.7 Heartwood 1 tracts · pop 5,501 2.5 Morgan Ridge At Hansen Creek 1 tracts · pop 2,261 2 Claremont South 1 tracts · pop 3,479

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