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Neighborhood · Carrboro, NC

The Flats Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,504 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

The Flats is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Carrboro with 1 census tract and a population of 4,504 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 38% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,300/month sits 12% lower than the Carrboro citywide average ($1,470).

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Flats vs Carrboro How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.4% +14%
Carrboro: 33.7%
Average gross rent
$1,300 -12%
Carrboro: $1,470
Average HH income
$66,951 -22%
Carrboro: $85,927
Poverty rate
18.5% +64%
Carrboro: 11.3%
Renter share
64.1% +13%
Carrboro: 56.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Flats and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why The Flats scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
18.5% below poverty line · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

The Flats vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Flats score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Flats: 4.44.4The FlatsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.92.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Flats

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37135010705 4.4 4,504 38% $1,300
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Flats

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,176Total filings (sum)
  • 10.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak year (2002)
  • 6.53%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Flats

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Flats

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Flats?

The Flats scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Flats compare to Carrboro overall?

The Flats scores 1.7 points higher than Carrboro overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,300 vs $1,470.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Flats?

Average gross rent in The Flats is $1,300/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Flats residents are renters?

64% of The Flats households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Carrboro). The neighborhood has 4,504 residents.
Q5

Is The Flats a high social-vulnerability area?

The Flats sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Flats for landlords?

The Flats carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carrboro as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Flats?

The Flats has 4,280 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10%), Hispanic / Latino (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Flats

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carrboro

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Flats.

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